Economic calendar

Fed Vice Chair for Supervision of the Board of Governors Michael S. Barr Speaks

Source: Federal Reserve

Japan Adjusted Current Account

The Japanese Adjusted Current Account index measures the difference in value between exported and imported goods, services and interest payments during the reported month. The goods portion is the same as the monthly Trade Balance figure. Because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports the data can have a sizable affect on the JPY.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY,

while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY.

Source: Ministry of Finance Japan

Japan Current Account n.s.a.

The Current Account index measures the difference in value between exported and imported goods, services and interest payments during the reported month. The goods portion is the same as the monthly Trade Balance figureA higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY

Source: Ministry of Finance Japan

Japan Gross Domestic Product (GDP) QoQ

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY.

Source: Cabinet Office

Japan Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized QoQ

Source: Cabinet Office, Government of Japan

Japan Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Price Index YoY

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Price Index measures the change in the price of all goods and services included in GDP. It is the broadest measure of inflation and is the primary indicator the Bank of Japan uses to gauge inflation.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY.

Source: Cabinet Office

Germany Factory Orders MoM

German Factory Orders measures the change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for both durable and non-durable goods. It is a leading indicator of production.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.

Source: Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Technologie

U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY

The British Retail Consortium (BRC) Retail Sales Monitor measures the change in the value of same-store sales in BRC-member retail outlets in the U.K.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.

Source: British Retail Consortium

Germany Industrial Production MoM

German Industrial Production measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.

Source: Destatis

Germany Trade Balance

The Trade Balance measures the difference in worth between exported and imported goods over the month. A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.

Source: Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland

U.S. Trade Balance

The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

U.S. Existing Home Sales MoM

Existing Home Sales measures the change in the number of existing (not new) residential buildings that were sold during the previous month. This report helps to gauge the strength of the U.S. housing market and is a key indicator of overall economic strength.

A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative

Source: National Association of Realtors

U.S. Existing Home Sales

Existing Home Sales measures the change in the annualized number of existing residential buildings that were sold during the previous month. This report helps to gauge the strength of the U.S. housing market and is a key indicator of overall economic strength.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Source: National Association of Realtors

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta GDPNow

GDPNow is not an official forecast of the Atlanta Fed. Rather, it is best viewed as a running estimate of real GDP growth based on available economic data for the current measured quarter. There are no subjective adjustments made to GDPNow—the estimate is based solely on the mathematical results of the model. In particular, it does not capture the impact of COVID-19 and social mobility beyond their impact on GDP source data and relevant economic reports that have already been released. It does not anticipate their impact on forthcoming economic reports beyond the standard internal dynamics of the model.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Source: U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics - Department of Labor

U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Source: U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics - Department of Labor

U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY

The Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods

and services, excluding food and energy. The CPI measures price change from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Source: U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics - Department of Labor

U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM

The Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods

and services, excluding food and energy. The CPI measures price change from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Source: U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics - Department of Labor

U.S. Federal Budget Balance

The Federal Budget Balance measures the difference in value between the federal government's income and expenditure during the reported month. A positive number indicates a budget surplus, a negative number indicates a deficit.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Source: Department of the Treasury

U.K. RICS House Price Balance

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) House Price Balance measures the percentage of surveyors reporting a house price increase in their designated area. A level above 0.0% indicates more surveyors reported a rise in prices; below indicates more reported a fall.

The report is a leading indicator of house price inflation as surveyors have access to the latest price data.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.

Source: RICS

Japan BSI Large Manufacturing Conditions

The Business Sentiment Index (BSI) Large Manufacturing Conditions Index measures business sentiment in manufacturing. The data is derived from a survey of large Japanese manufacturers. It is a key indicator of the strength of the Japanese economy, which relies heavily on the manufacturing industry. A level above zero indicates improving conditions; a level below indicates worsening conditions. This survey may help to predict the Bank of Japan's Tankan Large Manufacturing Index which is generally released about a week later.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY.

Source: Ministry of Finance

Euro Zone Deposit Facility Rate

The deposit facility is the rate which banks may use to make overnight deposits with the Eurosystem.

Source: European Central Bank

Eurozone Interest Rate Decision

The six members of the European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board and the 16 governors of the euro area central banks vote on where to set the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.

A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the EUR.

Source: European Central Bank

U.S. Core Producer Price Index (PPI) MoM

The Core Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the change in the selling price of goods and services sold by producers, excluding food and energy. The PPI measures price change from the perspective of the seller. When producers pay more for goods and services, they are more likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so PPI is thought to be a leading indicator of consumer inflation.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Source: U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics - Department of Labor

U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) MoM

The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers. It is a leading indicator of consumer price inflation, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Source: U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics - Department of Labor

Japan Industrial Production MoM

Industrial Production measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY.

Source: METI (Ministry of Economy Trade & Industry)

U.K. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) MoM

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.

Source: Office for National Statistics

Germany Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY

The German Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods

and services purchased by consumers.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.

Source: Federal Statistical Office Germany

Germany Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM

The German Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods

and services purchased by consumers.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.

Source: Federal Statistical Office Germany

U.K. Industrial Production MoM

Industrial Production measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.

Source: Office for National Statistics

U.K. Manufacturing Production MoM

Manufacturing Production measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers.

Manufacturing accounts for approximately 80% of overall Industrial Production.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.

Source: Office for National Statistics

U.K. Monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 3M/3M Change

Gross domestic product (GDP) measures the value of goods and services produced in the UK. It estimates the size of and growth in the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.

Rolling three-month data are calculated by comparing growth in a three-month period with growth in the previous three-month period, for example, growth in June to August compared with the previous March to May.

Source: Office for National Statistics

U.K. Trade Balance

The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.

Source: Office for National Statistics

U.K. Trade Balance Non-EU

The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods sand services, from and to Non-Eu countries, over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported.A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.

Source: Office for National Statistics

France Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM

The French Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.

Source: French National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies

France Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) MoM

Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices, is the same as CPI, but with a joint basket of products for all Eurozone member countries. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.

Source: Insee

U.S. Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations

University of Michigan (UoM) Inflation Expectations measures the percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months. There are two versions of this data released two weeks apart,Preliminary and Revised. The preliminary release is the earliest so tends to have more impact.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Source: University of Michigan

U.S. Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations

The University of Michigan Inflation Expectations survey of consumers presents the median expected price changes for the next 5 years.

A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.

Source: University Of Michigan

U.S. Michigan Consumer Expectations

The Michigan sentiment index includes two major components, a "current conditions" component and an "expectations" component. The current conditions component index is based on the answers to two standard questions and the expectations component index is based on three standard questions. This number is the expectations part of the overall index. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative. This is the final number.

Source: University Of Michigan

U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rates the relative level of current and future economic conditions. There are two versions of this data released two weeks apart, preliminary and revised. The preliminary data tends to have a greater impact. The reading is compiled from a survey of around 500 consumers.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Source: University of Michigan